- Obama not worried about Ebola at upcoming African summit in D.C.
- Obama: ‘We tortured some folks’ after 9/11
- Obama administration asked whole D.C. Circuit to take on major Obamacare case
- Mark Levin: Topple GOP leadership or country will ‘unravel’
- Massachusetts to let police chief deny gun buys to those deemed unfit
- John Kerry condemns attack on Israeli soldiers, kidnapping
- U.S. starts to evacuate American Ebola patients from West Africa: Report
- Geraldo slammed as ‘dummy’ for backing Clinton’s bin Laden claim
- Israeli spokesman: No need to debate who broke the cease-fire
- 35 Palestinians killed; Israeli officer missing
Poll: Romney winning over hesitant Virginia voters
Question of the Day
Mitt Romney has erased an 8-point deficit in the swing state of Virginia, which provided President Obama with one of his biggest victories in 2008 by supporting a Democratic candidate for the first time in more than four decades.
A poll released Thursday by Quinnipiac University shows Mr. Obama and Mr. Romney tied at 44 percent, with 8 percent undecided, 2 percent preferring another candidate, and 2 percent saying they wouldn’t vote. That compares to a 50 percent to 42 percent advantage Mr. Obama enjoyed in March.
While independent voters tilt for the president, 40 percent to 38 percent, his advantage with women declined from 16 points last month to 5 points in July. Mr. Obama’s favorability ratings also are underwater for the first time since December, with 46 percent holding a favorable opinion of him and 48 percent an unfavorable one.
Still, voters are not exactly lining up enthusiastically behind Mr. Romney, who has a 39-42 favorable-unfavorable split.
“One of them is going to win the White House, but neither would get elected Prom King,” said Peter A. Brown, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute.
The poll, conducted from July 10-16, surveyed 1,673 registered voters and has a margin of error of 2.4 percentage points.
Pundits are now acknowledging that the electoral map this year could look vastly different from four years ago, when Mr. Obama expanded Democratic territory and was able to flip historically red states such as Virginia and North Carolina.
Rather, it could more closely mirror the 2004 election, when, like this year, an under-fire incumbent was fending off a challenger about whom the electorate was not terribly enthusiastic. In that race, President Bush defeated Sen. John F. Kerry, Massachusetts Democrat, by 286 Electoral College votes to 251.
If Mr. Obama holds on to the Kerry states, which now have 246 electoral votes, Virginia’s 13 votes could clinch re-election for Mr. Obama even if he loses the other biggest swing states — Ohio, Florida and North Carolina. Because New Mexico is trending toward Mr. Obama, the president could get to the required 270 electoral votes by winning just one of three other Bush states he flipped in 2008 — Nevada, Colorado or Iowa.
“The president doesn’t have to win Virginia to get elected, but there’s a good chance Romney does,” said Paul Goldman, a longtime Democratic strategist who advised former Govs. L. Douglas Wilder and Mark R. Warner.
NPR also released a poll that gives Mr. Obama a 47 percent to 45 percent lead — within the margin of error of 3.1 percentage points. But voters in 12 battleground states, which included Virginia, were split, with 46 percent favoring Mr. Obama, 46 percent favoring Mr. Romney and 3 percent undecided.
The poll of 1,000 likely voters was conducted from July 9-12 and had an oversample to reach 462 voters in the battlegrounds. That sample had a margin of error of 4.56 percentage points.
Other fresh polls also portend a close race nationally: Mr. Romney leads 47 percent to 46 percent in a CBS/New York Times poll, including voters leaning toward one candidate or the other. Mr. Obama, meanwhile, leads 45 percent to 41 percent in a Fox poll.
The new numbers were released as first lady Michelle Obama is scheduled to hit Virginia on Friday to launch a voter outreach program the campaign plans to take to other battleground states next week.
On July 13, at a campaign stop in Roanoke, Va., Mr. Obama uttered his now-infamous “If you’ve got a business, you didn’t build that” line, making the point that other people or government services inevitably help along the way. Since then, however, Mr. Romney’s campaign has turned the remark into a rallying cry to argue that Mr. Obama does not understand — or care for — the free enterprise system.
© Copyright 2014 The Washington Times, LLC. Click here for reprint permission.
About the Author
David Sherfinski covers politics for The Washington Times. He can be reached at email@example.com.
- Williams: First lady didn't discuss her relationship with husband
- Williams: Maureen McDonnell's high-dollar requests seemed excessive
- Trips, loans for McDonnell family detailed at trial
- Star witness in Bob McDonnell corruption trial refutes 'crush' defense
- Defense lawyer: McDonnell's wife had 'crush' on CEO
Latest Blog Entries
- Dick Cheney: Hillary Clinton 'clearly bears responsibility' on Benghazi
- Holder vows to press ahead on gun control fight
- Seven of 10 prefer that Obama work with Congress, not go around it: Poll
- Schumer: Tea party hasn't let Obama put his policies into effect
- GOP official: Black not running for Wolf's House seat
TWT Video Picks
By Orrin G. Hatch
Procedural changes impede the chamber's traditional deliberative function
- Border agents cleared of civil rights complaints from illegal immigrant children
- Ben Carson takes major step toward presidential campaign
- U.N. condemns Israel, U.S. for not sharing Iron Dome with Hamas
- Obama military strategy too weak for future security, panel reports
- Porn-surfing feds blame boredom, lack of work for misbehavior
- House GOP resurrects border bill, predicts successful Friday vote
- Feds raid S.C. home to seize Land Rover in EPA emission-control crackdown
- Ted Nugent slams 'lying freaks' at liberal media: I'm 'doing God's work'
- CRUZ: A tale of two hospitals: One in Israel, one in Gaza
- Pentagon wants extra $19M to equip, train Ukrainian troops
Top 10 U.S. military helicopters
Obama's biggest White House 'fails'
Celebrities turned politicians
Athletes turned actors